Institutional Investing / Market Outlook

Q2 2025 Global Markets Review & Outlook

Global equities proved a timeless truth about corrections in Q2, rebounding sharply from “Liberation Day”’s steep fall to finish June at new all-time highs. While the correction started in mid-February, the bulk of its drop and full recovery lived in Q2.

Inside, you will find a summary of market activity and our market outlook.

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  • Tariffs Not Playing Out as Feared: With pending court challenges, new trade deals with countries, and underwhelming tariff collections, US tariff impact has been better-than-feared. Worst-case scenarios were priced in in April but as they failed to come to fruition markets bounced back sharply.
  • Post-Correction Gains Do Not Signal the End: Retracing pullbacks tend to trigger selloff behavior from investors, but enduring volatility often lays the groundwork for renewed upside and further gains.
  • Reset Sentiment Should Provide Bull Market Fuel: Fresh skepticism inside and outside the US from tariff and political developments lower the bar of expectations, setting the stage for positive surprise and a continuing bull market.

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